- ¿Obtendrá Rusia Unida (ER) menos del 40% de los votos por lista de partido en las elecciones a la Duma Estatal de Rusia de 2026?<1¢
- ¿Obtendrá Rusia Unida (ER) entre el 40% y el 45% de los votos de lista de partido en las elecciones a la Duma Estatal de Rusia de 2026?<1¢
- ¿Ganará Rusia Unida (ER) entre el 45 y el 50% de los votos de lista de partido en las elecciones a la Duma Estatal de Rusia de 2026?1¢
- ¿Obtendrá Rusia Unida (ER) entre el 50 y el 55% de los votos por lista de partido en las elecciones a la Duma Estatal de Rusia de 2026?22¢
- ¿Obtendrá Rusia Unida (ER) entre el 55% y el 60% de los votos de lista de partido en las elecciones a la Duma Estatal de Rusia de 2026?76¢
- ¿Obtendrá Rusia Unida (ER) el 60% o más de los votos por lista de partido en las elecciones a la Duma Estatal de Rusia de 2026?4¢
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve according to the percentage of the federal party-list vote won by United Russia (ER) in the 2026 Russian State Duma election. The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by United Russia (ER) on the federal party-list ballot divided by the total number of valid votes cast on the federal party-list ballot. Votes cast in single-member district contests will not be counted. Votes will be counted only where the official results attribute them to the named party. Votes attributed to another party or electoral designation will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of this election are not definitively known by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.