- Si alguna vez ocurre Nothing: Obama96¢96 %
Barack Obama’s post-presidency schedule through mid-October 2026 has centered on standard former-president activities, including midterm campaign appearances for Democratic Senate and gubernatorial candidates in states such as Ohio and Michigan, private fundraisers for party committees, and public speeches abroad. The Obama Presidential Center opened in Chicago in June without incident, and recent remarks have focused on democracy, technology policy, and civic engagement. No verified reports or official actions have surfaced regarding federal charges, arrests, or changes in marital status. Traders therefore assign overwhelming probability to resolution as “Nothing” by year-end, viewing the absence of triggering events as consistent with established patterns for the former president.
Reglas
Este mercado se resolverá como "Something" si se cumple alguna de las siguientes condiciones entre la creación del mercado y 31 de diciembre de 2026, 23:59 ET: - Obama es acusado a nivel federal - Obama es arrestado - Obama se divorcia De lo contrario, este mercado se resolverá con "Nothing". Las reglas completas de este mercado se pueden consultar aquí: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH_Obama.pdf
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