- ¿Habrá dejado Nigel Farage de ser líder de Reform UK para 31 de diciembre de 2026?6¢6 %
- ¿Habrá dejado Nigel Farage de ser líder de Reform UK para 31 de marzo de 2027?20¢20 %
Nigel Farage remains Reform UK leader amid ongoing scrutiny over an undeclared £5 million gift from a cryptocurrency donor, with the parliamentary standards commissioner expected to issue a verdict imminently following an October interview. Adverse findings could lead to suspension from the Commons and trigger a recall petition in his Clacton seat, though the party plans to appeal. Recent YouGov polling shows Reform UK at 21 percent in third place, with Farage trailing other party leaders in head-to-head matchups and personal approval ratings at multi-year lows. The party has faced additional probes into donation practices and internal adviser departures after undercover reporting. Farage has countered with policy announcements on immigration and citizenship reviews while maintaining active public campaigning, and Reform secured local council gains earlier in 2026. An early general election or further legal developments could influence leadership stability in the coming months.
Reglas
Este mercado se resolverá a "Sí" si Nigel Farage deja de ser líder de Reform UK durante cualquier periodo entre la creación del mercado y 31 de marzo de 2027, 23:59 ET. De lo contrario, este mercado se resolverá con "No". El anuncio de la dimisión o destitución de Nigel Farage antes de la fecha de finalización de este mercado resolverá inmediatamente el mercado a "Sí", independientemente de cuándo entre en vigor la dimisión o destitución anunciada. La fuente para resolver este mercado será la información de Reform UK; no obstante, también bastará el consenso de informaciones de fuentes fiables.
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