- ¿Se imputará a Mary Peltola para el 31 de enero?11¢11 %
Recent reporting from late October 2026 triggered escalated federal and state scrutiny of Mary Peltola’s Senate campaign over allegations that operatives recruited an independent candidate named Dan J. Sullivan to appear on the ballot alongside incumbent Sen. Dan S. Sullivan, potentially confusing voters in Alaska’s ranked-choice election. The Department of Justice confirmed an ongoing criminal probe that intensified after grand jury subpoenas and record-preservation demands, while Alaska Gov. Mike Dunleavy directed the Department of Public Safety to examine possible state-law violations. Peltola and her campaign have denied involvement or knowledge. As of early November 2026, no charges have been filed despite months of prior federal attention, and the timeline to January 31 leaves limited room for completing discovery, review, and charging decisions in a politically sensitive election-related matter. Trader consensus at 91.5% against charges by that date reflects these procedural realities and the absence of imminent indictments.
Reglas
Este mercado se resolverá a favor de "Sí" si alguna jurisdicción federal o estatal de Estados Unidos presenta formalmente cargos o anuncia de otro modo una acusación penal contra Mary Peltola entre la creación del mercado y 31 de enero de 2027, 23:59 ET. De lo contrario, este mercado se resolverá con "No". A efectos de este mercado, el Distrito de Columbia y cualquier condado, municipio u otra subdivisión de un Estado se incluirán en la definición de Estado. La fuente principal para resolver este mercado será la información oficial de fuentes gubernamentales de Estados Unidos; no obstante, también se tendrá en cuenta un amplio consenso de informaciones fiables.
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