- ¿La temperatura mínima en Tokio será de 20°C o menos el 8 de septiembre?<1¢
- ¿La temperatura mínima en Tokio será de 21°C el 8 de septiembre?2¢
- ¿La temperatura más baja en Tokio será de 22°C el 8 de septiembre?6¢
- ¿La temperatura mínima en Tokio será de 23°C el 8 de septiembre?35¢
- ¿Será la temperatura mínima en Tokio de 24°C el 8 de septiembre?37¢
- ¿Será la temperatura mínima en Tokio de 25°C el 8 de septiembre?18¢
- ¿Será la temperatura mínima en Tokio de 26°C el 8 de septiembre?7¢
- ¿Será la temperatura mínima en Tokio de 27°C el 8 de septiembre?2¢
- ¿Será la temperatura mínima en Tokio de 28°C el 8 de septiembre?1¢
- ¿Será la temperatura más baja en Tokio de 29°C el 8 de septiembre?<1¢
- ¿La temperatura mínima en Tokio será de 30°C o más el 8 de septiembre?<1¢
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent ensemble forecasts and Japan Meteorological Agency guidance point to a Tokyo minimum near 24°C on September 8 under persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and southerly flow, supporting the narrow market edge for 24°C over 23°C. High dew points near 23–24°C and elevated humidity suppress nocturnal radiative cooling, while the urban heat island and limited wind keep overnight lows from dropping further. Model spread in boundary-layer moisture and timing of any clearing creates the tight contest between these two outcomes, with lower probabilities for 25°C+ reflecting the risk of brief breaks allowing modest additional cooling. Final JMA station readings will resolve the market once observations are complete.