- ¿La temperatura más alta en Wuhan será de 34°C el 7 de septiembre?24¢
- ¿La temperatura más alta en Wuhan será de 28°C o menos el 7 de septiembre?<1¢
- ¿Será la temperatura más alta en Wuhan de 29°C el 7 de septiembre?<1¢
- ¿La temperatura más alta en Wuhan será de 30°C el 7 de septiembre?<1¢
- ¿Será la temperatura más alta en Wuhan de 31°C el 7 de septiembre?6¢
- ¿La temperatura más alta en Wuhan será de 32°C el 7 de septiembre?23¢
- ¿La temperatura más alta en Wuhan será de 33°C el 7 de septiembre?46¢
- ¿Será la temperatura máxima en Wuhan de 35°C el 7 de septiembre?5¢
- ¿Será la temperatura más alta en Wuhan de 36°C el 7 de septiembre?<1¢
- ¿Será la temperatura más alta en Wuhan de 37°C el 7 de septiembre?<1¢
- ¿La temperatura más alta en Wuhan será de 38°C o más el 7 de septiembre?<1¢
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent official forecasts and numerical weather models from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles project a maximum temperature of 32–33°C in Wuhan on September 7 under mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies with light southeasterly winds and minimal cloud cover. This positions 33°C as the leading outcome in market-implied odds, as clear conditions and warm-air advection under a stable subtropical ridge favor daytime heating near or slightly above seasonal norms. Ensemble spread and minor model differences in boundary-layer moisture and insolation create the secondary probability mass at 32°C and 34°C, while probabilities decline sharply outside this narrow range given the absence of significant synoptic forcing or precipitation. Updated model runs and local observations over the next 24 hours will refine these expectations ahead of market resolution.