- Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on September 2?45¢
- Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on September 2?1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 25°C on September 2?1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 27°C or higher on September 2?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C on September 2?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 17°C or below on September 2?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 23°C on September 2?44¢
- Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 19°C on September 2?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 26°C on September 2?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on September 2?11¢
- Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 24°C on September 2?3¢
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Forecast models from European meteorological services show Warsaw's September 2 maximum temperature settling near 22–23°C under stable high pressure near 1019 hPa, light westerly winds, and 40–50% cloud cover that limits peak solar heating. Ensemble spreads arise mainly from small differences in predicted afternoon cloud thickness and any brief light showers, which can trim or preserve 1°C of warming. These conditions align with early-September climatology, where daily highs average 21–22°C, keeping the market tightly balanced between the two leading outcomes while rendering higher or lower results unlikely absent a rapid pattern shift.