- ¿Será la temperatura más alta en Tel Aviv de 29°C o menos el 5 de septiembre?<1¢
- ¿Será la temperatura máxima en Tel Aviv de 30°C el 5 de septiembre?2¢
- ¿Será la temperatura más alta en Tel Aviv de 31°C el 5 de septiembre?15¢
- ¿La temperatura más alta en Tel Aviv será de 32°C el 5 de septiembre?77¢
- ¿Será la temperatura máxima en Tel Aviv de 33°C el 5 de septiembre?9¢
- ¿Será la temperatura máxima en Tel Aviv de 34°C el 5 de septiembre?<1¢
- ¿Será la temperatura más alta en Tel Aviv de 35°C el 5 de septiembre?<1¢
- ¿Será la temperatura más alta en Tel Aviv de 36°C el 5 de septiembre?<1¢
- ¿Será la temperatura más alta en Tel Aviv de 37°C el 5 de septiembre?<1¢
- ¿Será la temperatura máxima en Tel Aviv de 38°C el 5 de septiembre?<1¢
- ¿Será la temperatura más alta en Tel Aviv de 39°C o más el 5 de septiembre?<1¢
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current forecasts from multiple models and the Israel Meteorological Service indicate a maximum temperature of 31–32°C in Tel Aviv on September 5, driven by persistent high pressure, light westerly winds, and mostly clear skies typical of late-summer Mediterranean conditions. These stable synoptic patterns support the market's heavy weighting toward 32°C at 72.5% implied probability, with 31°C as the next most likely outcome. Historical September averages near 30°C provide context, while minor model spread on peak timing or localized sea-breeze effects introduces limited uncertainty around exact resolution thresholds. No significant shifts in guidance have emerged in the latest updates.