- ¿Será la temperatura más alta en Múnich de 27°C o menos el 8 de septiembre?<1¢
- ¿Será la temperatura máxima en Múnich de 28°C el 8 de septiembre?1¢
- ¿Será la temperatura máxima en Múnich de 29°C el 8 de septiembre?1¢
- ¿La temperatura más alta en Múnich será de 30°C el 8 de septiembre?4¢
- ¿La temperatura más alta en Múnich será de 31°C el 8 de septiembre?21¢
- ¿Será la temperatura máxima en Múnich de 32°C el 8 de septiembre?54¢
- ¿Será la temperatura máxima en Múnich de 33°C el 8 de septiembre?22¢
- ¿Será la temperatura más alta en Múnich de 34°C el 8 de septiembre?1¢
- ¿La temperatura más alta en Múnich será de 35°C el 8 de septiembre?<1¢
- ¿La temperatura más alta en Múnich será de 36°C el 8 de septiembre?<1¢
- ¿Será la temperatura más alta en Múnich de 37°C o más el 8 de septiembre?<1¢
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Forecast models from DWD, ECMWF, and GFS indicate a peak temperature near 30–32 °C in Munich on September 8, 2026, under clear skies and southerly flow. This warm-air advection combined with strong September insolation and minimal cloud cover supports the market’s heavy weighting toward 32 °C (54 % implied probability). Recent model runs show consistent daytime maxima in the low-30s °C range, well above the 1991–2020 climatological high of ~21 °C and approaching the all-time September 8 record of 29.6 °C. Light winds and dry conditions limit mixing and evaporative cooling, reinforcing the upper end of the distribution. Traders are pricing in limited downside risk from overnight model shifts, with resolution hinging on official DWD observations the following day.