- ¿Será la temperatura máxima en Chongqing de 32°C o menos el 7 de septiembre?<1¢
- ¿Será la temperatura más alta en Chongqing de 33°C el 7 de septiembre?<1¢
- ¿La temperatura más alta en Chongqing será de 34°C el 7 de septiembre?<1¢
- ¿La temperatura más alta en Chongqing será de 35°C el 7 de septiembre?4¢
- ¿La temperatura más alta en Chongqing será de 36°C el 7 de septiembre?20¢
- ¿Será la temperatura máxima en Chongqing de 37°C el 7 de septiembre?53¢
- ¿La temperatura más alta en Chongqing será de 38°C el 7 de septiembre?22¢
- ¿La temperatura más alta en Chongqing será de 39°C el 7 de septiembre?5¢
- ¿Será la temperatura más alta en Chongqing de 40°C el 7 de septiembre?2¢
- ¿La temperatura más alta en Chongqing será de 41°C el 7 de septiembre?<1¢
- ¿La temperatura más alta en Chongqing será de 42°C o más el 7 de septiembre?<1¢
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from global models including GFS and ECMWF indicate a peak temperature near 37°C in Chongqing on September 7 under mostly sunny skies with light southeasterly flow and minimal cloud cover, supporting the market's 52.5% implied probability for that outcome. Persistent subtropical high pressure and warm air advection have sustained above-average warmth through early September, with recent daily maxima around 35–37°C providing a baseline for modest further increase. Lower odds for 36°C (20%) or 38°C (22%) reflect typical model spread and local urban heat island effects, while probabilities drop sharply outside 36–38°C given the stable synoptic pattern. Official China Meteorological Administration station readings will resolve the market once September 7 observations are finalized.