- ¿La temperatura más alta en Chicago será de 79°F o menos el 3 de septiembre?<1¢
- ¿Será la temperatura más alta en Chicago entre 80-81°F el 3 de septiembre?<1¢
- ¿Será la temperatura máxima en Chicago entre 82 y 83°F el 3 de septiembre?1¢
- ¿Será la temperatura más alta en Chicago entre 84-85°F el 3 de septiembre?3¢
- ¿La temperatura más alta en Chicago estará entre 86-87°F el 3 de septiembre?7¢
- ¿Será la temperatura más alta en Chicago entre 88-89°F el 3 de septiembre?28¢
- ¿Será la temperatura más alta en Chicago entre 90-91°F el 3 de septiembre?36¢
- ¿Será la temperatura más alta en Chicago entre 92-93°F el 3 de septiembre?18¢
- ¿Será la temperatura más alta en Chicago entre 94-95°F el 3 de septiembre?6¢
- ¿Será la temperatura más alta en Chicago entre 96-97°F el 3 de septiembre?<1¢
- ¿La temperatura más alta en Chicago será de 98°F o más el 3 de septiembre?<1¢
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button. If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Consensus forecasts from the National Weather Service and major models point to a high in the lower 90s for Chicago on September 3, 2026, with traders concentrating probability on the 88–93°F range. Hot, humid air advection from the southwest under mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies supports peak readings near 90–91°F, consistent with above-average late-summer conditions and heat indices exceeding 100°F. A 30% chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly after midday, introduces the main uncertainty: earlier or stronger convection could limit insolation and cap the maximum, while delayed or weaker activity would favor the upper end of the range. Model consensus remains tight on the overall warm pattern, with resolution hinging on the precise timing of cloud cover and any outflow boundaries.