- ¿Será la temperatura máxima en Chengdu de 26°C o menos el 8 de septiembre?1¢
- ¿Será la temperatura más alta en Chengdu de 33°C el 8 de septiembre?9¢
- ¿Será la temperatura máxima en Chengdu de 34°C el 8 de septiembre?4¢
- ¿Será la temperatura más alta en Chengdu de 27°C el 8 de septiembre?1¢
- ¿Será la temperatura más alta en Chengdu de 28°C el 8 de septiembre?3¢
- ¿Será la temperatura más alta en Chengdu de 31°C el 8 de septiembre?28¢
- ¿La temperatura más alta en Chengdu será de 32°C el 8 de septiembre?24¢
- ¿Será la temperatura más alta en Chengdu de 29°C el 8 de septiembre?12¢
- ¿Será la temperatura máxima en Chengdu de 30°C el 8 de septiembre?19¢
- ¿Será la temperatura máxima en Chengdu de 35°C el 8 de septiembre?3¢
- ¿La temperatura máxima en Chengdu será de 36°C o más el 8 de septiembre?<1¢
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a high near 29–31°C in Chengdu on September 8, driven by increasing cloud cover and scattered showers as subtropical high pressure weakens and a frontal boundary approaches. This setup limits peak solar heating compared to the prior week’s clearer, warmer conditions that reached 33–35°C. Precipitation timing and intensity remain the key variables: earlier or heavier rain would favor the 30°C outcome, while delayed or lighter activity supports 31–32°C. Historical September averages hover near 26–28°C, underscoring how this transitional pattern keeps market-implied odds tightly clustered around these thresholds. Updated model runs and official meteorological briefings tomorrow morning will provide the final resolution data.