- ¿La temperatura máxima en Ankara será de 22°C o menos el 9 de septiembre?<1¢
- ¿La temperatura más alta en Ankara será de 23°C el 9 de septiembre?1¢
- ¿Será la temperatura máxima en Ankara de 24°C el 9 de septiembre?1¢
- ¿Será la temperatura máxima en Ankara de 25°C el 9 de septiembre?3¢
- ¿Será la temperatura más alta en Ankara de 26°C el 9 de septiembre?14¢
- ¿Será la temperatura más alta en Ankara de 27°C el 9 de septiembre?63¢
- ¿La temperatura más alta en Ankara será de 28°C el 9 de septiembre?18¢
- ¿La temperatura máxima en Ankara será de 29°C el 9 de septiembre?3¢
- ¿Será la temperatura máxima en Ankara de 30°C el 9 de septiembre?<1¢
- ¿La temperatura más alta en Ankara será de 31°C el 9 de septiembre?<1¢
- ¿La temperatura máxima en Ankara será de 32°C o más el 9 de septiembre?<1¢
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current forecasts from multiple models indicate a high near 27°C in Ankara on September 9 under clear skies and light northeasterly winds, following cooler conditions on September 7–8 with highs around 24–25°C. This aligns with September's climatological average high of 26–27°C and supports the market's strong 61.5% implied probability for 27°C. Recent model consensus shows limited variability, with some runs reaching 28°C, consistent with the 17.5% odds there, while 26°C holds 12.5%. Dry conditions and minimal cloud cover reduce uncertainty in daytime maxima, though minor steering or timing shifts could still influence the exact peak before resolution.