- ¿Ganará Kylian Mbappé el Balón de Oro 2026?7¢
- ¿Ganarà Erling Haaland el Balón de Oro 2026?<1¢
- ¿Ganarà Jude Bellingham el Balón de Oro 2026?<1¢
- ¿Ganará Ousmane Dembélé el Balón de Oro 2026?1¢
- ¿Ganará Mohamed Salah el Balón de Oro 2026?<1¢
- ¿Ganará Lamine Yamal el Balón de Oro 2026?17¢
- ¿Ganará Vinícius Júnior el Balón de Oro 2026?<1¢
- ¿Ganará Harry Kane el Balón de Oro 2026?61¢
- ¿Ganarà Pedri el Balón de Oro 2026?<1¢
- ¿Ganarà Cole Palmer el Balón de Oro 2026?<1¢
- ¿Ganará Declan Rice el Balón de Oro 2026?<1¢
- ¿Ganará Vitinha el Balón de Oro 2026?<1¢
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or. If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
Harry Kane leads the Ballon d'Or 2026 market at 61.5% implied probability following his standout 2025-26 campaign, where he scored 61 goals across 51 appearances for Bayern Munich en route to the Bundesliga title and DFB-Pokal, then added six more at the World Cup as England reached the semifinals. Spain's tournament triumph has elevated Lamine Yamal to 16.7% on the back of his creative influence and match-winning displays for the champions, while Rodri sits at 7.5% after earning the Golden Ball as midfield anchor. Kylian Mbappé, Lionel Messi, and others trail further behind amid the post-tournament reassessment of individual contributions relative to Kane's unmatched goal volume and silverware. The wisdom of crowds reflected in these prices underscores the weight of club consistency alongside international impact in voter considerations ahead of the October ceremony.