This market will resolve to “Yes” if Volodymyr Zelenskyy ceases to be President of Ukraine for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Volodymyr Zelenskyy's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Volodymyr Zelenskyy and the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Ukraine’s constitutional bar on elections during martial law, extended through at least 31 October 2026 and likely longer while Russia’s invasion continues, keeps incumbent President Volodymyr Zelenskyy in office. Recent calls by former defence minister Mykhailo Fedorov for a wartime vote drew an immediate rejection from Zelenskyy, who warned that any contest now would split the country and undermine the war effort. Parliament has repeatedly renewed martial law in 90-day increments since 2022, and no scheduled vote can proceed until that legal framework lifts. Traders therefore assign only a 6.5% chance Zelenskyy departs by year-end, reflecting the structural and security barriers that have already postponed the 2024 election and appear set to persist through December 2026 absent a rapid ceasefire.