- Wird Xi Jinping vor 2027 aus dem Amt scheiden?5¢
This market will resolve to "Yes" if China's General Secretary of the Communist Party, Xi Jinping, is removed from power for any length of time between July 3, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". CCP General Secretary Xi Jinping will be considered removed from power if he announces his resignation from his role as General Secretary, or is otherwise dismissed, detained, disqualified, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as General Secretary within this market's timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Xi Jinping’s consolidated control over the Chinese Communist Party’s central institutions, including the Politburo and Central Committee, underpins the 95% trader consensus against his removal before 2027. At age 73, he has shown no indication of stepping down or naming a successor ahead of the 21st Party Congress expected in late 2027, where analysts anticipate continuity into a fourth term rather than abrupt change. Ongoing military purges and elite reshuffles have further aligned top ranks with his authority, eliminating visible factional challenges. With the next major leadership forum still over a year away and no formal age-based retirement pressure applying to him, recent analyses point to expectations of stability through the end of 2026.