- Wird Jesus Christus vor 2027 zurückkehren?2¢
This market will resolve to "Yes" if The Second Coming of Jesus Christ occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
The overwhelming 98.2% market-implied odds for “No” reflect trader consensus rooted in two millennia of unfulfilled eschatological expectations, with no verifiable signs or theological consensus pointing to an imminent return before 2027. Secular cultural narratives in film, literature, and media have long portrayed such events as distant or metaphorical rather than literal deadlines, while recent years have seen no surge in credible public claims or movements shifting sentiment. Historical voting patterns in similar long-shot markets favor evidence-based outcomes over speculation. Realistic upset scenarios remain narrow, hinging on an unforeseen global event widely accepted as fulfilling the criteria, though the secret and interpretive nature of religious resolution criteria makes such a shift improbable within the timeframe.