- Wird der Medianwert von Eigenheimen im Großraum Austin am 30. September zwischen 478.000 und 486.000 US-Dollar liegen?<1¢
- Wird der Medianwert von Häusern im Großraum Austin am 30. September mindestens 486.000 $ betragen?<1¢
- Wird der Medianwert von Eigenheimen in der Metropolregion Austin am 30. September zwischen 454.000 $ und 462.000 $ liegen?2¢
- Wird der Medianwert von Eigenheimen in der Metropolregion Austin am 30. September zwischen 446.000 $ und 454.000 $ liegen?8¢
- Wird der mittlere Immobilienwert in der Metropolregion Austin am 30. September zwischen 470.000 $ und 478.000 $ liegen?3¢
- Wird der Medianwert von Häusern in der Metropolregion Austin am 30. September unter 446.000 $ liegen?88¢
- Wird der Medianwert von Eigenheimen in der Metropolregion Austin am 30. September zwischen 462.000 und 470.000 US-Dollar liegen?<1¢
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Austin, Texas Metro area on September 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Austin, Texas Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2887289). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100 square feet, which is the median home size in the Austin, Texas Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/51)
Recent median sales prices in the Austin metro area have hovered near $435,000 as of July 2026, reflecting a continued post-pandemic correction amid elevated mortgage rates near 6.5–7% and expanded inventory from earlier construction surges. Elevated homeowner insurance costs and moderating net migration have further pressured affordability and demand, keeping year-over-year price changes modestly negative or flat across multiple data sources. With September 30 resolution approaching, these fundamentals underpin strong trader consensus around the sub-$446K outcome, as limited near-term catalysts appear positioned to reverse the trajectory before quarter-end.