MI-11 House Election Margin of Victory
PolitikWahlenMarge des SiegesMidtermsParlamentswahlenMichigan MidtermMidterm MOV
Startdatum
2026-08-10
Enddatum
2026-11-04
24h-Volumen
$2K
Gesamtvolumen
$11K
  • Wird der Kandidat der Demokratischen Partei die Wahl zum Repräsentantenhaus 2026 im Bezirk MI-11 mit 40 % Vorsprung oder mehr gewinnen?2¢
  • Wird der Kandidat der Demokratischen Partei die Wahl zum Repräsentantenhaus 2026 im Bezirk MI-11 mit 35%-40% gewinnen?9¢
  • Wird der Kandidat der Demokratischen Partei die Wahl zum Repräsentantenhaus im Wahlkreis MI-11 im Jahr 2026 mit 30%-35% Vorsprung gewinnen?26¢
  • Wird der Kandidat der Demokratischen Partei die Wahl zum US-Repräsentantenhaus 2026 im Wahlkreis MI-11 mit 25%-30% Vorsprung gewinnen?32¢
  • Wird der Kandidat der Demokratischen Partei die Wahl zum Repräsentantenhaus im Bezirk MI-11 im Jahr 2026 mit 20%-25% Vorsprung gewinnen?16¢
  • Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MI-11 House election by 15%-20%?9¢
  • Wird der Kandidat der Demokratischen Partei die Wahl zum Repräsentantenhaus im Wahlkreis MI-11 im Jahr 2026 mit 10 % bis 15 % Vorsprung gewinnen?5¢
  • Wird der Kandidat der Demokratischen Partei die MI-11 House-Wahl 2026 mit 0%-10% Vorsprung gewinnen?2¢
  • Wird der Kandidat der Republikanischen Partei die Wahl zum Repräsentantenhaus 2026 im Wahlbezirk MI-11 gewinnen?2¢

The 2026 MI-11 House election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election. The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. For purposes of this market, candidates nominated by the Democratic & Republican Parties will represent the options for "Democrat" and "Republican," respectively. Independent candidates will not represent options for either party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket. If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as "Republican" or "Democrat" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking. This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official. If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 MI-11 House election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

MI-11 House Election Margin of Victory

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