SpaceX has completed roughly 120 orbital launches through mid-October 2026, driven primarily by a sustained Falcon 9 cadence of Starlink deployments alongside crew, cargo, and national security missions from Florida and California pads. This operational tempo, supported by rapid booster reuse and multiple active pads, positions the 140-159 range as the market consensus. Starship test flights remain limited, with only a handful expected by year-end as the vehicle transitions between blocks. Upcoming milestones include continued Starlink batches and potential Starship Flights 15-16, though regulatory reviews for higher Starship rates will not materially affect 2026 totals. Trader sentiment reflects the proven Falcon reliability and historical launch patterns rather than speculative Starship scaling.
Dieser Markt wird anhand der Anzahl der SpaceX-Starts zwischen 1. Januar 2026, 0:00 ET und 31. Dezember 2026, 23:59 ET entschieden. Liegt die gemeldete Gesamtzahl der SpaceX-Starts genau zwischen zwei Bereichen, wird dieser Markt zugunsten des höheren Bereichs entschieden. Die Quelle für die Entscheidung dieses Marktes ist https://www.spacex.com/launches.
Maschinelle Übersetzung. Im Streitfall gilt das Original.