- Wird die Höchsttemperatur in Wuhan am 14. Oktober 22°C oder darunter liegen?<1¢
- Wird die Höchsttemperatur in Wuhan am 14. Oktober 23°C betragen?<1¢
- Wird die Höchsttemperatur in Wuhan am 14. Oktober 24°C betragen?<1¢
- Wird die Höchsttemperatur in Wuhan am 14. Oktober 25°C betragen?<1¢
- Wird die Höchsttemperatur in Wuhan am 14. Oktober 26°C betragen?>99¢
- Wird die Höchsttemperatur in Wuhan am 14. Oktober 27°C betragen?<1¢
- Wird die Höchsttemperatur in Wuhan am 14. Oktober 28°C betragen?<1¢
- Wird die Höchsttemperatur in Wuhan am 14. Oktober 29°C betragen?<1¢
- Wird die Höchsttemperatur in Wuhan am 14. Oktober 30°C betragen?<1¢
- Wird die Höchsttemperatur in Wuhan am 14. Oktober 31°C betragen?<1¢
- Wird die Höchsttemperatur in Wuhan am 14. Oktober 32°C oder höher sein?<1¢
Trader consensus at 26°C reflects the latest official forecasts from the Wuhan Meteorological Observatory and aligned numerical models projecting a daytime maximum of 26–27°C. Partly cloudy skies with southeasterly flow and moderate humidity are expected to allow temperatures to peak near this level before evening showers develop, consistent with mid-October climatology for the region. Multiple sources, including local agency briefings and global model runs, converge on this narrow range without significant discrepancies. A faster onset or heavier precipitation, or greater low-level cloud cover than anticipated, could limit the high to 25°C or below, while delayed rain and stronger insolation might allow readings to reach 27–28°C.
Regeln
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Oct '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. In the case that the Resolution Source publishes data, sufficient to settle a Market, that is clearly erroneous and the result of technical or operational error, or of unauthorized interference with the Resolution Source or its data, the Market may remain open for a period of up to seven (7) calendar days (ET) from the time of the original release, in anticipation of a correction by the Resolution Source. If the Resolution Source publishes a corrected value within that period, that value will be eligible for resolution. If no corrected value is published within that period, Polymarket will issue a Clarification to determine whether the originally published value may be eligible for resolution, or whether other action is required to preserve the orderly functioning of the Market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.