- Wird die Höchsttemperatur in Tel Aviv am 5. September 29°C oder weniger betragen?<1¢
- Wird die höchste Temperatur in Tel Aviv am 5. September 30°C betragen?2¢
- Wird die Höchsttemperatur in Tel Aviv am 5. September 31°C betragen?15¢
- Wird die Höchsttemperatur in Tel Aviv am 5. September 32°C betragen?77¢
- Wird die Höchsttemperatur in Tel Aviv am 5. September 33°C betragen?9¢
- Wird die Höchsttemperatur in Tel Aviv am 5. September 34°C betragen?<1¢
- Wird die Höchsttemperatur in Tel Aviv am 5. September 35°C betragen?<1¢
- Wird die höchste Temperatur in Tel Aviv am 5. September 36°C betragen?<1¢
- Wird die Höchsttemperatur in Tel Aviv am 5. September 37°C betragen?<1¢
- Wird die Höchsttemperatur in Tel Aviv am 5. September 38°C betragen?<1¢
- Wird die Höchsttemperatur in Tel Aviv am 5. September 39°C oder höher sein?<1¢
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current forecasts from multiple models and the Israel Meteorological Service indicate a maximum temperature of 31–32°C in Tel Aviv on September 5, driven by persistent high pressure, light westerly winds, and mostly clear skies typical of late-summer Mediterranean conditions. These stable synoptic patterns support the market's heavy weighting toward 32°C at 72.5% implied probability, with 31°C as the next most likely outcome. Historical September averages near 30°C provide context, while minor model spread on peak timing or localized sea-breeze effects introduces limited uncertainty around exact resolution thresholds. No significant shifts in guidance have emerged in the latest updates.