This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from regional meteorological services point to a maximum temperature near 28–29°C in Panama City on September 7, driven by typical wet-season conditions featuring widespread cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and moderate easterly winds that limit daytime heating. These patterns align with climatological norms for early September in the region, where high humidity and convective activity often cap afternoon peaks despite abundant solar input. Trader emphasis on 31°C as the leading outcome reflects recent observations of slightly warmer days amid variable model runs and uncertainty over exact storm timing, which could allow brief clearing and higher readings. Updated guidance from monitoring agencies over the next 24 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.