- Wird Elon Musk vom 10. bis 12. September 2026 zwischen 40 und 64 Tweets veröffentlichen?100¢100 %
- Wird Elon Musk vom 10. bis 12. September 2026 weniger als 40 Tweets posten?0¢0 %
- Wird Elon Musk vom 10. bis 12. September 2026 zwischen 65 und 89 Tweets posten?0¢0 %
- Wird Elon Musk vom 10. bis 12. September 2026 zwischen 90 und 114 Tweets posten?0¢0 %
- Wird Elon Musk vom 10. bis 12. September 2026 zwischen 115 und 139 Tweets posten?0¢0 %
- Wird Elon Musk zwischen dem 10. September und dem 12. September 2026 140 bis 164 Tweets absetzen?0¢0 %
- Wird Elon Musk vom 10. bis 12. September 2026 zwischen 165 und 189 Tweets posten?0¢0 %
- Wird Elon Musk vom 10. bis 12. September 2026 zwischen 190 und 214 Tweets posten?0¢0 %
- Wird Elon Musk zwischen dem 10. und 12. September 2026 zwischen 215 und 239 Tweets veröffentlichen?0¢0 %
- Wird Elon Musk vom 10. bis 12. September 2026 mehr als 240 Tweets veröffentlichen?0¢0 %
Traders see the 40-64 tweet range as the overwhelming favorite because it aligns with Elon Musk’s established X activity patterns, where he typically posts 13–21 times per day absent major breaking events. His consistent engagement with followers, replies, and commentary on tech, politics, and SpaceX updates has produced similar three-day totals in recent periods, giving the market strong historical grounding. An upset into higher brackets would require an unusually intense news cycle, product launch, or personal development that dramatically increases his output, while lower totals could occur only if he steps back for travel, meetings, or platform moderation—scenarios traders currently assign minimal probability given his routine pace.
Regeln
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 10 12:00 PM ET to September 12, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.