- Wird Elon Musk vom 31. August bis 2. September 2026 zwischen 40 und 64 Tweets posten?68¢
- Wird Elon Musk vom 31. August bis 2. September 2026 zwischen 190 und 214 Tweets posten?<1¢
- Wird Elon Musk vom 31. August bis 2. September 2026 mehr als 240 Tweets posten?<1¢
- Wird Elon Musk vom 31. August bis 2. September 2026 zwischen 65 und 89 Tweets posten?33¢
- Wird Elon Musk vom 31. August bis 2. September 2026 zwischen 90 und 114 Tweets posten?2¢
- Wird Elon Musk vom 31. August bis 2. September 2026 zwischen 115 und 139 Tweets veröffentlichen?<1¢
- Wird Elon Musk zwischen dem 31. August und dem 2. September 2026 140-164 Tweets absetzen?<1¢
- Wird Elon Musk vom 31. August bis 2. September 2026 zwischen 165 und 189 Tweets posten?<1¢
- Wird Elon Musk vom 31. August bis 2. September 2026 zwischen 215 und 239 Tweets posten?<1¢
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 31 12:00 PM ET to September 2, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Elon Musk’s posting pace on X has settled into a moderate range during the Labor Day-adjacent window, anchoring trader consensus around the 40-64 tweet bucket at roughly 67% implied probability. Recent three-day stretches, including the prior August 29-31 period, resolved in the same band, reflecting a baseline of 10–20 daily posts absent major product launches, political flashpoints, or viral threads that typically inflate volume. Historical patterns show holiday weekends compress activity below peak levels, while August’s overall high count (settling in the 880-919 monthly bin) did not carry over into sustained daily spikes. With resolution imminent on September 2 and no confirmed catalysts on the horizon, the 65-89 range trails at 32.5% as the only plausible alternative if engagement ticks higher.