- Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?3¢
- Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?<1¢
- Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?<1¢
- Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?<1¢
- Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?<1¢
- Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?23¢
- Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?18¢
- Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?7¢
- Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?1¢
- Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?<1¢
- Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?32¢
- Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?12¢
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 28 12:00 PM ET to September 4, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Elon Musk’s posting cadence on X remains the core driver of this week’s market, shaped by his typical mix of SpaceX launches, Tesla updates, Grok features, and real-time commentary on AI and platform metrics. Recent activity through late August showed steady high-volume engagement around 25–35 original posts, reposts, and quotes daily, with occasional bursts tied to news events, pushing trader consensus toward the 200–219 range as the most probable outcome. The broad distribution across bins underscores the inherent unpredictability of short windows, where one major announcement or viral thread can shift totals by 30–50 posts. Upcoming chart updates and any breaking SpaceX or X developments through September 4 serve as the key swing factors traders are monitoring.