- Wird Flávio Bolsonaro im ersten Wahlgang der brasilianischen Präsidentschaftswahl 2026 weniger als 30 % der gültigen Stimmen erhalten?1¢
- Wird Flávio Bolsonaro zwischen 30 % und 33 % der gültigen Stimmen in der ersten Runde der brasilianischen Präsidentschaftswahl 2026 gewinnen?5¢
- Wird Flávio Bolsonaro in der ersten Runde der brasilianischen Präsidentschaftswahl 2026 zwischen 33 % und 36 % der gültigen Stimmen gewinnen?12¢
- Wird Flávio Bolsonaro zwischen 36% und 39% der gültigen Stimmen in der ersten Runde der brasilianischen Präsidentschaftswahl 2026 gewinnen?16¢
- Wird Flávio Bolsonaro in der ersten Runde der brasilianischen Präsidentschaftswahl 2026 39 % oder mehr der gültigen Stimmen gewinnen?70¢
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Flávio Bolsonaro in the first round of this election. The percentage of valid votes received by the specified candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes the candidate receives in the first round by the sum of all valid votes cast in the first round. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the specified candidate does not appear on the ballot in the first round, or otherwise receives no valid votes, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market will resolve based on the official vote count. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, including the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).