- Will Trump rename an ocean by December 31, 2026?3¢3 %
- Will Trump rename an ocean by December 31, 2027?13¢13 %
- 1 %2,8 %December 31, 202643,1 t $ vol.
- 3 %13 %December 31, 20277,9 t $ vol.
President Donald Trump has repeatedly floated renaming the Atlantic or Pacific Ocean during October 2026 campaign rallies, proposing options such as “Trump Ocean,” “Ocean of the Americas,” or “American Ocean” after prior executive orders directed federal agencies to adopt “Gulf of America” for the Gulf of Mexico and “Lake America” for Lake Ontario. Google Maps updated U.S. labels for those earlier changes but reportedly declined the Atlantic proposal, citing its multinational scope. Traders monitor whether further executive actions or public statements materialize before any market resolution date, as federal geographic naming authority rests with the executive branch and the Board on Geographic Names while international usage remains unaffected. Midterm election dynamics and any additional rally comments could shift implied probabilities in the near term.
Regler
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump issues any executive order to, or signs any bill into law to, or otherwise takes action to officially rename any ocean by December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." For the purposes of this market, the oceans are defined as: the Atlantic Ocean, the Pacific Ocean, the Indian Ocean, the Arctic Ocean, and the Southern/Antarctic Ocean. Officially renaming any one of these five oceans is sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of the new name chosen. Renaming a subdivision of one of these oceans, such as the North Atlantic Ocean or the South Pacific Ocean, will also qualify. If the U.S. Board on Geographic Names (BGN) renames any of the five oceans accordingly this will qualify for a "Yes" resolution. Renaming any other body of water, including any sea, gulf, bay, strait, channel, or lake, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution. This market's resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration or the U.S. Board on Geographic Names, however a consensus of credible reporting stating that the US Government has renamed one of the five oceans will suffice.