- Will Pete Buttigieg announce a Presidential run before 2027?39¢39 %
- Will Rahm Emanuel announce a Presidential run before 2027?33¢33 %
- Will Phil Murphy announce a Presidential run before 2027?29¢29 %
- Will Ron DeSantis announce a presidential run before 2027?11¢11 %
- Will Andy Beshear announce a Presidential run before 2027?11¢11 %
- Will Raphael Warnock announce a Presidential run before 2027?11¢11 %
- Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027?9¢9 %
- Will Mark Kelly announce a Presidential run before 2027?8¢8 %
- Will Tulsi Gabbard announce a presidential run before 2027?8¢8 %
- Will Tucker Carlson announce a presidential run before 2027?7¢7 %
- Will Rand Paul announce a presidential run before 2027?7¢7 %
- Will Ted Cruz announce a presidential run before 2027?6¢6 %
27 %38,6 %Pete Buttigieg27 t $ vol.
26 %33,4 %Rahm Emanuel21,7 t $ vol.
14 %29 %Phil Murphy4,8 t $ vol.
5 %11,3 %Ron DeSantis8,6 t $ vol.
7 %11,3 %Andy Beshear34,1 t $ vol.
2 %11 %Raphael Warnock5,1 t $ vol.
1 %8,5 %Gavin Newsom99,7 t $ vol.
8,2 %Mark Kelly14,7 t $ vol.
7 %7,7 %Tulsi Gabbard6,9 t $ vol.
7 %Tucker Carlson32,2 t $ vol.
6,5 %Rand Paul20,4 t $ vol.
6,4 %Ted Cruz18 t $ vol.
As of November 2026, following the midterm elections in which Democrats gained control of both congressional chambers, no major-party figures have formally declared 2028 presidential campaigns. Potential contenders including Vice President JD Vance and former Vice President Kamala Harris have stated they would decide after the midterms, creating an opening for announcements before year-end. Early primary polling positions Vance and Harris among frontrunners in their parties, while figures such as Marco Rubio and Gavin Newsom have signaled limited or conditional interest. Only minor candidates have filed with the FEC, consistent with historical patterns where serious bids typically launch in the year before primaries. Trader consensus on early announcements reflects these statements and the post-midterm decision timeline.
Regler
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.