- Venezuela election scheduled by November 30, 2026?<1¢<1 %
- Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?9¢9 %
- Venezuela election scheduled by March 31, 2027?35¢35 %
- 0,9 %November 30, 20266,7 t $ vol.
- 8,5 %December 31, 2026170,8 t $ vol.
- 7 %34,5 %March 31, 20277,1 t $ vol.
Recent U.S.-backed negotiations between interim President Delcy Rodríguez’s government and opposition factions center on reforming the Supreme Tribunal of Justice by mid-December 2026 and the National Electoral Council shortly afterward. Once complete, a presidential vacancy declaration would trigger a constitutional six-month window for elections, aligning with opposition leader María Corina Machado’s public push for a 2027 vote following her late-October return. Rodríguez has affirmed elections under a renewed electoral authority but has not set a date, while talks continue without Machado’s direct participation. These institutional steps, combined with international oversight demands, remain the primary factors shaping trader views on the earliest feasible scheduling.
Regler
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Venezuelan presidential election is scheduled by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". To qualify, the election must be scheduled to be held before 2030. This market is about whether a date for the next Venezuelan presidential election is announced within this market's timeframe. Whether the election is supposed to take place within this market's timeframe or later will have no effect on the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Venezuela; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.