- Will Josh Allen win the 2026 NFL MVP?28¢28 %
- Will Joe Burrow win the 2026 NFL MVP?17¢17 %
- Will Brock Purdy win the 2026 NFL MVP?16¢16 %
- Will Caleb Williams win the 2026 NFL MVP?11¢11 %
- Will Trevor Lawrence win the 2026 NFL MVP?11¢11 %
- Will Jordan Love win the 2026 NFL MVP?4¢4 %
- Will Drake Maye win the 2026 NFL MVP?4¢4 %
- Will Jared Goff win the 2026 NFL MVP?3¢3 %
- Will Jaxson Smith-Njigba win the 2026 NFL MVP?3¢3 %
- Will Patrick Mahomes win the 2026 NFL MVP?2¢2 %
- Will Justin Herbert win the 2026 NFL MVP?1¢1 %
- Will Jahmyr Gibbs win the 2026 NFL MVP?1¢1 %
- 4 %28 %Josh Allen72,9 t $ vol.
- 1 %17,1 %Joe Burrow48,6 t $ vol.
- 16 %Brock Purdy49,3 t $ vol.
- 1 %11,1 %Caleb Williams153,5 t $ vol.
- 3 %10,9 %Trevor Lawrence41,4 t $ vol.
- 1 %4,1 %Jordan Love27,9 t $ vol.
- 3,6 %Drake Maye38,4 t $ vol.
- 3,1 %Jared Goff32,4 t $ vol.
- 2,9 %Jaxson Smith-Njigba46,3 t $ vol.
- 2,4 %Patrick Mahomes38,7 t $ vol.
- 1,1 %Justin Herbert86,4 t $ vol.
- 1 %1,1 %Jahmyr Gibbs25,4 t $ vol.
Josh Allen tops the 2026 NFL MVP market at 31.5% implied probability, reflecting his league-leading passing efficiency, touchdown production, and the Buffalo Bills' strong record midway through the season. Joe Burrow and Brock Purdy sit next at 17.1% and 16.0%, supported by high completion rates, low turnovers, and favorable team outcomes in their divisions. Emerging options Caleb Williams and Trevor Lawrence hold 10.3% and 10.1% shares amid breakout statistical lines and offensive scheme fit. Historical voter preference for quarterbacks with superior yards-per-attempt and win totals keeps non-QB candidates like running backs and defensive players at minimal odds, while the overall distribution captures trader consensus on midseason form, schedule strength, and injury resilience.
Regler
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 NFL Most Valuable Player award for the 2026-27 NFL season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NFL rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026-27 NFL season is cancelled, postponed after February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.