- Will Su Chiao-hui win the next New Taipei Mayor election?60¢60 %
- Will Lee Shu-chuan win the next New Taipei Mayor election?40¢40 %
- Will Huang Kuo-chang win the next New Taipei Mayor election?<1¢<1 %
5 %60 %Su Chiao-hui132,6 t $ vol.
6 %40 %Lee Shu-chuan130,2 t $ vol.
Recent polling has shown DPP candidate Su Chiao-hui building a double-digit lead over KMT rival Lee Shu-chuan ahead of the November 28 vote, reflecting trader consensus that favors her at 59 percent. Gains for Su stem from stronger support among committed voters and in several districts, alongside emphasis on tourism development, transportation extensions, and urban renewal. Lee has focused on infrastructure projects and local concerns while questioning poll samples. With roughly three weeks remaining, undecided voters, turnout patterns, and any late campaign developments or endorsements could narrow or widen the gap reflected in current market pricing.
Regler
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of New Taipei as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).