- Will Lai Jui-lung win the next Kaohsiung Mayor election?92¢92 %
- Will Ko Chih-en win the next Kaohsiung Mayor election?8¢8 %
- Will Lin Tai-hua win the next Kaohsiung Mayor election?<1¢<1 %
- Will Chiu Yi-ying win the next Kaohsiung Mayor election?<1¢<1 %
- Will Hsu Chih-chieh win the next Kaohsiung Mayor election?<1¢<1 %
- Will Chang Ching win the next Kaohsiung Mayor election?<1¢<1 %
10 %92 %Lai Jui-lung41,7 t $ vol.
9 %7,6 %Ko Chih-en56,6 t $ vol.
Lai Jui-lung, the Democratic Progressive Party nominee and incumbent-aligned legislator with prior Kaohsiung city government experience, holds the strongest trader consensus in this November 28 local election race, reflecting assessments of party continuity under outgoing Mayor Chen Chi-mai and established local support networks. Recent October debates highlighted policy contrasts on AI and semiconductor development, airport upgrades, social welfare subsidies, traditional industry support, and redevelopment of the former 205th Arsenal site, with both Lai and Kuomintang challenger Ko Chih-en outlining competing visions for industrial growth and infrastructure. Ballot number assignments in late October and ongoing campaign events have not produced measurable shifts. Other listed candidates, including independents and lower-polling DPP figures, face structural barriers in a contest dominated by the two major parties. Late developments such as turnout patterns among independents or additional public polling could still influence final positioning before voting concludes.
Regler
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Kaohsiung as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).