- Will José Maria Neves win the Cape Verde presidential election?95¢95 %
- Will Joana Rosa win the Cape Verde presidential election?1¢1 %
- Will Janine Lélis win the Cape Verde presidential election?1¢1 %
- Will Casimiro de Pina win the Cape Verde presidential election?<1¢<1 %
- Will Péricles Tavares win the Cape Verde presidential election?<1¢<1 %
- Will Milton Paiva win the Cape Verde presidential election?<1¢<1 %
- Will Fernando Delgado win the Cape Verde presidential election?<1¢<1 %
1 %95,2 %José Maria Neves27,4 t $ vol.
2 %1,4 %Joana Rosa4,3 t $ vol.
1 %1,2 %Janine Lélis4 t $ vol.
1 %0,5 %Casimiro de Pina1,6 t $ vol.
1 %0,5 %Péricles Tavares2 t $ vol.
0,2 %Milton Paiva1,2 t $ vol.
0,2 %Fernando Delgado757,8 $ vol.
José Maria Neves enters the November 15, 2026, Cape Verde presidential election as the clear frontrunner, backed by the ruling PAICV and recent endorsements from Prime Minister Francisco Carvalho and former President Pedro Pires. His first-round victory in 2021 and emphasis on institutional stability during the campaign have reinforced trader consensus reflected in current market pricing. The six-candidate field, including Joana Rosa of the opposition MpD, features limited polling data and a short official campaign window that began October 29. A first-round majority avoids a potential runoff on November 29. While Neves holds a commanding position, unforeseen developments such as major shifts in voter turnout or late campaign events could still influence the final outcome before resolution.
Regler
Presidential elections are currently scheduled to be held in Cape Verde on November 15, 2026, with a second round to be held on November 29, 2026 if no candidate receives a majority of valid votes. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Cape Verde presidential elections. Any interim or caretaker President will not qualify. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of the Cape Verde, including the National Commission of Elections (https://cne.cv/).