- Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?45¢45 %
- Will Axel Kicillof win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?35¢35 %
- Will Sergio Massa win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?15¢15 %
- Will Patricia Bullrich win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?2¢2 %
- Will Myriam Bregman win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?2¢2 %
- Will Cristina Fernández de Kirchner win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?1¢1 %
- Will Daniel Hadad win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?<1¢<1 %
- Will Lionel Messi win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?<1¢<1 %
- Will Victoria Villarruel win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?<1¢<1 %
- Will Dante Gebel win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?<1¢<1 %
- Will Máximo Kirchner win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?<1¢<1 %
- Will Facundo Manes win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?<1¢<1 %
1 %44,5 %Javier Milei297,9 t $ vol.
3 %34,5 %Axel Kicillof163,4 t $ vol.
15,1 %Sergio Massa127,9 t $ vol.
1 %2,1 %Patricia Bullrich48,7 t $ vol.
1,6 %Myriam Bregman77,4 t $ vol.
1 %1,3 %Cristina Fernández de Kirchner38,3 t $ vol.
0,7 %Daniel Hadad41,6 t $ vol.
0,4 %Lionel Messi32,7 t $ vol.
0,3 %Victoria Villarruel51,9 t $ vol.
0,3 %Dante Gebel60,7 t $ vol.
0,2 %Facundo Manes49,1 t $ vol.
Javier Milei leads the 2027 Argentine presidential race as incumbent with trader consensus reflecting his consistent edge in national polling averages around 30-38 percent in first-round scenarios, ahead of Axel Kicillof at roughly 20-33 percent. High government disapproval ratings near 54-63 percent and persistent economic pressures including unemployment have narrowed his advantage, yet La Libertad Avanza maintains stronger first-round positioning than a divided Peronist opposition. Kicillof, governor of Buenos Aires province, emerges as the primary challenger with potential to consolidate anti-incumbent support in a likely runoff, where recent surveys show near-parity or slight edges depending on the pollster. Sergio Massa trails as a secondary Peronist option while figures such as Myriam Bregman and Victoria Villarruel register lower single-digit support. The October 2027 first round and possible second-round contest remain highly sensitive to economic indicators, coalition alignments, and voter turnout among undecided blocs.
Regler
A presidential election scheduled to be held in Argentina on October 24, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Argentinian Presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Argentina government sources, including the Cámara Nacional Electoral (https://www.electoral.gob.ar/nuevo/index.php) and the Dirección Nacional Electoral (https://www.argentina.gob.ar/dine).