- Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?9¢9 %
Trilateral technical-level talks between Ukraine, Russia, and the United States are scheduled for November 10-11 in Abu Dhabi following US envoy Steve Witkoff’s October meetings with both Vladimir Putin and Volodymyr Zelenskyy. These sessions focus on de-escalation steps such as energy or maritime ceasefires, prisoner exchanges, and post-conflict security arrangements, with Ukrainian officials expressing hope that progress could open a path to a leaders’ summit. Putin has reiterated an invitation for direct talks in Moscow, a venue Kyiv continues to reject in favor of a neutral location such as Turkey. No bilateral meeting between the presidents has occurred since 2019, and core differences persist over territorial issues and security guarantees. The upcoming Abu Dhabi round and any follow-on diplomatic calendar represent the primary near-term catalysts that could shift the probability of a Zelenskyy-Putin conversation.
Pravidla
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Volodymyr Zelenskyy and Vladimir Putin talk by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". A talk is defined as any interaction between Volodymyr Zelenskyy and Vladimir Putin, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call. Events that occurred prior to the start of this market will not qualify toward its resolution. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.