- Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of December 2026?69¢69 %
- Will OpenAI have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of December 2026?16¢16 %
- Will Google have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of December 2026?14¢14 %
- Will Alibaba have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of December 2026?4¢4 %
- Will Meta have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of December 2026?2¢2 %
- Will Moonshot have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of December 2026?1¢1 %
- Will ByteDance have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of December 2026?1¢1 %
- Will MiniMax have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of December 2026?1¢1 %
- Will Poolside have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of December 2026?<1¢<1 %
- Will DeepSeek have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of December 2026?<1¢<1 %
- Will Thinky have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of December 2026?<1¢<1 %
- Will Xiaomi have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of December 2026?<1¢<1 %
9 %68,5 %AnthropicObjem 5 tis. $
5 %16 %OpenAIObjem 2,6 tis. $
9 %14 %GoogleObjem 1,8 tis. $
2 %3,8 %AlibabaObjem 1,1 tis. $
1,7 %MetaObjem 910,9 $
2 %1,2 %MoonshotObjem 1,2 tis. $
1 %1,1 %ByteDanceObjem 1,1 tis. $
1 %1,1 %MiniMaxObjem 1 tis. $
0,8 %PoolsideObjem 841 $
0,6 %DeepSeekObjem 968,9 $
0,4 %ThinkyObjem 658,1 $
0,3 %XiaomiObjem 665,8 $
Anthropic’s Claude models, including recent releases like Claude Opus 5.5 and Fable 5.2 with expanded 1M-token context and adaptive reasoning, currently lead the Code Arena WebDev leaderboard by wide margins in agentic coding tasks involving multi-step tool use and frontend development. This performance edge drives the 77.5% implied probability, reflecting sustained dominance in practical web app benchmarks over competitors. OpenAI’s GPT-6 variants and Google’s Gemini models trail with lower scores, while smaller labs show limited upside. Traders appear focused on whether further Anthropic updates or rival drops before year-end could alter the December resolution.
Pravidla
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Models" is checked on December 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market. Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score. Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".