- Will the US federal government take a stake in Unusual Machines?18¢18 %
- Will the US federal government take a stake in OpenAI?10¢10 %
- Will the US federal government take a stake in Eli Lilly and Company?8¢8 %
- Will the US federal government take a stake in Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited?8¢8 %
- Will the US federal government take a stake in Palantir Technologies Inc.?8¢8 %
- Will the US federal government take a stake in Anduril Industries, Inc.?8¢8 %
- Will the US federal government take a stake in SpaceX?7¢7 %
- Will the US federal government take a stake in Pfizer Inc.?7¢7 %
- Will the US federal government take a stake in NVIDIA Corporation?7¢7 %
- Will the US federal government take a stake in IonQ, Inc.?6¢6 %
- Will the US federal government take a stake in Samsung Electronics Co., Ltd.?5¢5 %
- Will the US federal government take a stake in Micron Technology, Inc.?5¢5 %
- 6 %18 %Unusual MachinesObjem 2,2 tis. $
- 1 %10 %OpenAIObjem 14,1 tis. $
- 1 %8,3 %Eli LillyObjem 5,2 tis. $
- 1 %8 %TSMCObjem 19,9 tis. $
- 1 %7,6 %PalantirObjem 5,9 tis. $
- 6 %7,5 %AndurilObjem 58 tis. $
- 7 %SpaceXObjem 256,2 $
- 6,6 %PfizerObjem 7,2 tis. $
- 6,5 %NvidiaObjem 18,6 tis. $
- 6 %IonQObjem 5,4 tis. $
- 4,7 %Samsung ElectronicsObjem 10,5 tis. $
- 4,6 %MicronObjem 3,1 tis. $
The Trump administration has accelerated federal equity investments in private companies through conditional grants, loans, and CHIPS Act funding, securing minority non-controlling stakes in exchange for support in semiconductors, critical minerals, quantum computing, defense, and energy. As of early November 2026, roughly 40-43 such deals have been announced or completed across agencies including Commerce and Defense, with Intel representing the largest position and total commitments approaching $30 billion. These moves aim to strengthen domestic supply chains and reduce foreign dependencies. The Polymarket resolution window closes December 31, 2026, leaving time for additional announcements that could affect outcomes for listed firms in strategic sectors, while procedural and legal questions around the approach continue to draw attention.
Pravidla
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the U.S. federal government takes a stake in the listed company by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Takes a stake refers to the U.S. federal government acquiring direct equity ownership, voting shares, convertible rights treated as equity, or equivalent ownership interests in the listed company or of a legal vehicle that primarily owns the listed company. Stakes acquired through independent entities entirely controlled or owned by the U.S. federal government (e.g. a sovereign wealth fund, state-owned enterprise, etc.) will count. Non-equity financial instruments or stakes acquired by private persons or entities not owned or controlled by the US federal government will not count; acquisitions by by states, pensions, index or mutual funds, or consortia will not qualify. An official US federal government announcement of a completed qualifying acquisition, or of a binding agreement to complete a qualifying acquisition, within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”. Speculation, suggestions, plans, or other announcements which do not announce a completed acquisition or a binding acquisition agreement, however, will not count. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government and a consensus of credible reporting.