- Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?89¢89 %
- Will Trump and Putin not meet?11¢11 %
- Will Trump and Putin meet next in United States?<1¢<1 %
- Will Trump and Putin meet next in Russia?<1¢<1 %
- Will Trump and Putin meet next in Turkey?<1¢<1 %
- Will Trump and Putin meet next in Switzerland?<1¢<1 %
- Will Trump and Putin meet next in a Gulf country?<1¢<1 %
- Will Trump and Putin meet next in another country?<1¢<1 %
- Will Trump and Putin meet next in Belarus?<1¢<1 %
- Will Trump and Putin meet next in Finland?<1¢<1 %
- Will Trump and Putin meet next in South Korea?<1¢<1 %
- Will Trump and Putin meet next in Japan?<1¢<1 %
1 %88,5 %ChinaObjem 442,6 tis. $
2 %10,5 %No meeting by December 31Objem 568,4 tis. $
0,6 %United StatesObjem 140,9 tis. $
0,3 %RussiaObjem 163 tis. $
0,2 %TurkeyObjem 113,7 tis. $
0,2 %SwitzerlandObjem 103,8 tis. $
0,2 %Gulf countryObjem 113,6 tis. $
0,2 %OtherObjem 106,3 tis. $
China confirmed on November 4 that it is maintaining communications with the United States and Russia regarding a potential trilateral meeting among Presidents Trump, Putin, and Xi Jinping on the sidelines of the APEC summit scheduled for November 18–19 in Shenzhen. The proposal originated in Russian diplomatic outreach, with both Trump and Putin publicly expressing interest in the format, which would mark the first such three-way gathering of the nuclear powers. Trader consensus reflects the advanced stage of these preparations and China's role as host, while the secondary probability assigned to no meeting by year-end accounts for remaining uncertainties over final confirmation and agenda details. Other proposed venues lack comparable recent diplomatic momentum or scheduled multilateral events involving the three leaders.
Pravidla
This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe. A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person. An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify. For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates). The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.