- Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by December 31?4¢4 %
- Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by June 30, 2027?24¢24 %
- Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by December 31, 2027?33¢33 %
- 4 %December 31, 2026Objem 43,9 tis. $
- 6 %24 %June 30, 2027Objem 36,5 tis. $
- 1 %33 %December 31, 2027
US-brokered direct talks between Russian and Ukrainian officials begin November 10–11 in Abu Dhabi, the first since February, focusing on security guarantees amid stalled battlefield progress. Territorial disputes, particularly over Donetsk, remain central sticking points, with Ukraine’s constitution requiring a nationwide referendum for any border changes. President Zelenskyy has conditioned winter elections or referendums on a sustained ceasefire, while recent polls show majority support for voting on a peace deal but firm opposition to major concessions. Ongoing strikes and winter pressures add urgency, though analysts expect limited immediate outcomes and potential movement only in 2027. These diplomatic and procedural factors shape trader views on referendum scheduling timelines.
Pravidla
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a peace referendum on the Russo-Ukrainian war is officially scheduled in Ukraine by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A peace referendum for the Russo-Ukrainian war refers to any nationwide vote relating to peace in the Russo-Ukrainian war or over a peace deal to end the war. A qualifying referendum will be considered to be scheduled once a date for the referendum to take place has been officially scheduled and publicly announced by a relevant Ukrainian government authority with the legal jurisdiction to do so. Once a qualifying referendum has been scheduled, this market will resolve to “Yes.” Subsequent legal challenges or other challenges to the legitimacy of the referendum will not affect resolution of this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.