Albania holds a commanding position in UEFA Nations League 2026-27 Group C1 thanks to superior recent form and results across the league phase. With 12 points from five matches and a +7 goal difference, the side sits two points clear of Belarus after securing four wins, including a 2-0 victory over Belarus in September and a 2-0 result against Finland on November 12. Belarus trails on 10 points despite three wins, while Finland and San Marino lag further behind. The final matchday clash between Belarus and Albania today represents the primary remaining hurdle, with Albania favored to secure promotion to League B barring an upset. Trader consensus prices Albania at 86.5% implied probability, reflecting the gap in squad depth and consistency, though a Belarus victory combined with other results could narrow the margin.
This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group C1 at the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League. If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League. If the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League is cancelled, postponed after December 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.