Spain leads Group A3 with a perfect 5-0 record and 15 points after five matches, including a 3-2 victory over England at Wembley in September, while England sits second on 12 points following four wins. Spain hosts England in Madrid on the final matchday, needing only a draw to claim the group title and quarterfinal qualification, whereas England requires a win to overtake them. Spain's unbeaten run, superior squad depth, and recent form have anchored trader consensus around a strong favorite position, with England retaining realistic but narrower upset potential in the decisive fixture. Croatia and Czechia trail far behind and hold minimal implied probability for the group win.
Pravidla
This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group A3 at the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League.
If the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League is cancelled, postponed after December 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.