The Buffalo Bills hold a 6-1 record and the AFC East lead after Week 8, powering their 74% implied probability through an elite offense that ranks first in points per game and a favorable upcoming slate against weaker opponents. The New England Patriots sit at 5-3, 1.5 games back, with their 25% market share supported by a head-to-head tiebreaker from their earlier win and a resurgent performance under Mike Vrabel that has produced three straight division victories. The New York Jets and Miami Dolphins, at 2-6 and 1-6, face near-elimination with minimal remaining upside in the standings. Recent results, including Buffalo’s dominant win over Baltimore and New England’s victory over Miami, have reinforced the gap between the top two clubs while leaving limited room for late swings in the race.
This market will resolve according to the team that is declared as the AFC East division champion for the 2026 NFL regular season. If multiple teams tie atop the division, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the NFL. If the 2026 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 17, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this division within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.