- Will Solomon Olamilekan Adeola win the 2027 Ogun State gubernatorial election?83¢83 %
- Will Rotimi Babajide win the 2027 Ogun State gubernatorial election?7¢7 %
- Will Bolaji Odusina win the 2027 Ogun State gubernatorial election?5¢5 %
- Will Adekunle Adenuga win the 2027 Ogun State gubernatorial election?5¢5 %
- Will Oladipupo Adebutu win the 2027 Ogun State gubernatorial election?4¢4 %
- Will Biodun Ogundipe win the 2027 Ogun State gubernatorial election?3¢3 %
- Will Okewole Shuaib Olaniyi win the 2027 Ogun State gubernatorial election?3¢3 %
7 %83 %Solomon Olamilekan AdeolaObjem 10,7 tis. $
4 %6,7 %Rotimi BabajideObjem 311,1 $
5,1 %Bolaji OdusinaObjem 212,6 $
4 %4,9 %Adekunle AdenugaObjem 306,8 $
3,9 %Oladipupo AdebutuObjem 273,1 $
3,3 %Biodun OgundipeObjem 637,3 $
3,3 %Okewole Shuaib OlaniyiObjem 362,9 $
Solomon Adeola, the All Progressives Congress candidate, holds the strongest position in the Ogun State governorship race ahead of the February 2027 election due to his decisive primary victory in May 2026 and subsequent confirmation by the party. INEC’s final candidate list in October cleared Adeola while excluding the main opposition Peoples Democratic Party nominee Oladipupo Adebutu, leaving fragmented minor-party contenders. Incumbent Governor Dapo Abiodun’s public endorsement, citing zoning equity for Ogun West, combined with Adeola’s facilitation of infrastructure projects and alignment with federal party structures, has consolidated trader consensus around the APC ticket. Ongoing campaign events and the withdrawal of legal challenges against Adeola further reinforce this positioning, though the multi-candidate field and scheduled February vote leave room for shifts if opposition coalitions form.
Pravidla
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Ogun State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Ogun State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.