Utah holds the clearest path to the Big 12 title game after improving to 9-0 overall and 6-0 in conference play with a 28-20 victory over rival BYU in the Holy War. Texas Tech sits alone in second at 8-1 and 5-1 following a 53-48 shootout win over West Virginia, keeping the Red Raiders in strong position with games against Oklahoma State and others ahead. A cluster of 4-2 conference teams—Arizona, BYU, Houston, Baylor, and Oklahoma State—remain mathematically alive, though recent close results and defensive vulnerabilities have created separation. Utah’s remaining schedule, including a road matchup at Arizona, and Texas Tech’s ability to win out will largely determine the two qualifiers for the December 4 championship at AT&T Stadium. Trader consensus reflects Utah’s dominance while pricing in the competitive race for the second berth.
This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2026 Big 12 Championship Game. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to advance to the 2026 Big 12 Championship Game (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 Big 12 Championship Game is cancelled, postponed after January 15, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 Big 12 Championship Game matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Big 12; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.