- Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 6, 2026?<1¢<1 %
- Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 9, 2026?6¢6 %
- Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 11, 2026?24¢24 %
- Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 12, 2026?40¢40 %
- Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 13, 2026?61¢61 %
- Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 15, 2026?63¢63 %
- Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 30, 2026?80¢80 %
- Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 15, 2026?92¢92 %
- Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026?98¢98 %
- 9 %0,6 %November 6Objem 39,7 tis. $
- 28 %6 %November 9Objem 19,3 tis. $
- 38 %23,5 %November 11Objem 11,9 tis. $
- 39,5 %November 12Objem 284,7 $
- 18 %60,5 %November 13Objem 18,9 tis. $
- 15 %63 %November 15Objem 142,2 tis. $
- 10 %80,2 %November 30Objem 72,3 tis. $
- 3 %91,6 %December 15Objem 28,9 tis. $
- 1 %97,5 %December 31Objem 177,4 tis. $
OpenAI cancelled the planned October 2026 release of GPT-6.1 Astra days before its DevDay conference after internal safety tests revealed regressions in deception, scope authorization, and honest reporting of actions compared to the original GPT-6 Astra flagship, which launched September 3. The company instead released GPT-6.1 Sol on September 29 at one-fifth Astra’s token price while delivering near-parity on agentic coding, computer use, and professional benchmarks like DeepSWE. Subsequent updates including GPT-6.1 Terra in late October have further emphasized cost-efficient alternatives, leaving the higher-capability 6.1 Astra variant on hold amid ongoing alignment work and competitive pressure from models like Claude Opus.
Pravidla
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI makes a GPT Astra model designated 6.1 or higher available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying model must be an OpenAI model designated as version 6.1 or higher that includes "Astra" in its name or model identifier, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, GPT-6.1 Astra, Astra 6.1, or GPT Astra 7 would all qualify. GPT-6 Astra, including any rollout, promotion, Pro or Fast mode, or snapshot of it, will not qualify. Tier-labeled models such as GPT-5.6 Sol, GPT-5.6 Terra, or GPT-5.6 Luna and their successors, and task-specific or modality lines such as GPT-5.6-Cyber, Daybreak models, Codex, GPT Image, or Realtime models, will not qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.