- Will it snow in Boston, MA by November 15?97¢97 %
- Will it snow in Buffalo, NY by November 15?>99¢>99 %
- Will it snow in Chicago, IL by November 15?26¢26 %
- Will it snow in Indianapolis, IN by November 15?25¢25 %
- Will it snow in Kansas City, MO by November 15?7¢7 %
- Will it snow in Minneapolis, MN by November 15?43¢43 %
- Will it snow in Pittsburgh, PA by November 15?62¢62 %
- Will it snow in Salt Lake City, UT by November 15?51¢51 %
- Will it snow in Boston, MA by November 30?>99¢>99 %
- Will it snow in Buffalo, NY by November 30?93¢93 %
- Will it snow in Cincinnati, OH by November 30?41¢41 %
- Will it snow in Dallas, TX by November 30?10¢10 %
43 %96,6 %Boston, MA by November 15Objem 1,8 tis. $
35 %99,7 %Buffalo, NY by November 15Objem 2,3 tis. $
16 %25,5 %Chicago, IL by November 15Objem 2,9 tis. $
25 %Indianapolis, IN by November 15Objem 3,7 tis. $
7 %Kansas City, MO by November 15Objem 2,1 tis. $
4 %42,5 %Minneapolis, MN by November 15Objem 739 $
2 %61,5 %Pittsburgh, PA by November 15Objem 2,1 tis. $
3 %51 %Salt Lake City, UT by November 15Objem 1,2 tis. $- 42 %99,6 %Boston, MA by November 30Objem 2,4 tis. $
- 32 %93,1 %Buffalo, NY by November 30Objem 2,4 tis. $
7 %41 %Cincinnati, OH by November 30Objem 986,3 $
10 %Dallas, TX by November 30Objem 783,6 $
This market will resolve to "Yes" for each listed city that records any snowfall, including trace, between market creation and the listed deadline, 11:59 PM local time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The observation day is each station's National Weather Service climate day (midnight to midnight local time). Each market resolves as soon as its outcome is determined - "Yes" as soon as a report shows snowfall, or "No" as soon as a report has been published for every day of its window. Because the final climate report for a day is issued the following morning, each market carries a resolution date 3 days after its deadline as an outer limit for that publication lag, not a waiting period: October 31, 2026 (by November 3, 2026); November 15, 2026 (by November 18, 2026); November 30, 2026 (by December 3, 2026). Each market's resolution source is that city's NWS Daily Climate Report, linked in that market's details. Those pages show the latest report only; past daily reports for every city are archived on the Iowa Environmental Mesonet at https://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/wx/afos/.
Recent cold air outbreaks and associated precipitation have driven early measurable snowfall in higher elevations across the Rockies, northern New England, and parts of the Mountain West, with Mt. Washington recording 0.7 inches on October 5 and Colorado peaks seeing 1–12 inches mid-month. Trader sentiment reflects National Weather Service and NOAA guidance on a potent cold front expected October 16–18 that could bring the season’s first accumulating snow to interior Northeast and Great Lakes higher terrain, though lower elevations remain unlikely. El Niño conditions favor later-than-average first snow across the Midwest and Northeast by limiting cold-air intrusions, consistent with historical patterns where northern tier mountains typically see measurable snow in October while the I-95 corridor waits until December. Upcoming NWS model runs and daily climate reports will refine accumulation thresholds and timing for market resolution.
Pravidla
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Denver, CO records any snowfall on any day between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM local time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Snowfall for Denver, CO is measured only at station KDEN, which the National Weather Service reports as "DENVER CO" in its Daily Climate Report. Observations from any other station or location do not count. Any amount of snowfall qualifies, including a report of "T" (trace) - snow observed but too little to measure. Once snowfall is reported, this market resolves "Yes" immediately, without waiting for the rest of the window. This market resolves "No" only if no snowfall is reported for any day of the window. The observation day is the National Weather Service climate day at KDEN (midnight to midnight local time, America/Denver). Resolution is based on the station's first published snowfall figure for each day, as given in the first final Daily Climate Report for that day. Intermediate reports issued during the day are not used. Subsequent revisions or corrections will not be considered; the first published value is final. A report whose snowfall value is missing (for example, shown as "M") does not count as a published value; the snowfall figure for that day will be taken from the first subsequent report that includes one. If a day's snowfall value is missing but the month-to-date or season-to-date snowfall total in that day's final report is higher than in the previous day's final report, snow fell on that day and this market resolves "Yes". This market resolves as soon as its outcome is determined - "Yes" as soon as any day's report shows snowfall, or "No" as soon as every day of the window has a published snowfall figure and every figure is zero. There is no waiting period. If any day's snowfall figure remains unpublished, the market will remain open until the earlier of the figure being published or the 3rd day after the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, at which point any such day is treated as zero snowfall. The resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report for KDEN, issued as product CLIDEN. That page shows the latest report only; past daily reports are archived on the Iowa Environmental Mesonet at https://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/wx/afos/list.phtml?by=pil&pil=CLIDEN.