- Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?>99¢>99 %
- Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?<1¢<1 %
0,2 %FerrariObjem 910,1 tis. $
Mercedes holds a 126-point advantage in the 2026 constructors' championship with only four races left, including the São Paulo Grand Prix this weekend where the team can clinch the title by outscoring Ferrari. The Silver Arrows' lead stems from 12 race wins this season, powered by Kimi Antonelli's nine victories alongside George Russell's consistent podium contributions and strong early-season pace under new regulations. Ferrari, with Lewis Hamilton and Charles Leclerc combining for two wins, trails at 504 points despite recent upgrades and competitive showings. While the Italian squad retains a mathematical path, it would require an unprecedented swing—averaging over 30 points per remaining race while Mercedes falters—which current form and reliability trends make highly improbable. Trader consensus reflects this near-certainty in Mercedes' position.
Pravidla
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Constructors’ Championship for the 2026 F1 season. This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known. In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.” If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.