- Aleksandar Vučić arrested by November 30, 2026?9¢9 %
- Aleksandar Vučić arrested by December 31, 2026?30¢30 %
- 8,5 %November 30, 2026Objem 1,5 tis. $
- 29,5 %December 31, 2026Objem 854,4 $
Following Aleksandar Vučić’s concession after the Student List’s victory in Serbia’s October 25, 2026 parliamentary elections, authorities have arrested multiple mid-level officials tied to his former government, including senior police commanders accused of abuse of office and excessive force during prior protests, as well as a bank owner facing corruption charges. These actions reflect accelerated judicial proceedings on stalled corruption and electoral manipulation cases amid demands for institutional reforms. Vučić has publicly stated he faces no credible evidence of personal financial wrongdoing and is not concerned about detention. No formal investigation or charges against him have been announced. The incoming parliament’s convening and any new government priorities on accountability will shape whether probes extend to former senior leadership.
Pravidla
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Aleksandar Vučić is arrested or detained by law enforcement by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time. A qualifying arrest/detention includes: * Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement) * Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant * Being formally booked or processed following detention * Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station * Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney * Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention * An arrest warrant being issued but not executed * Being questioned or interviewed without arrest * Being named in an indictment without arrest The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.