- Will Javokhir Sindarov win the 2026 World Chess Championship?77¢77 %
- Will Gukesh Dommaraju win the 2026 World Chess Championship?23¢23 %
- 2 %76,5 %Javokhir SindarovObjem 81,9 tis. $
- 3 %22,5 %Gukesh DommarajuObjem 80,9 tis. $
Sindarov enters the November 24–December 12 match in Geneva as the clear market favorite due to his 72-point rating edge (2782 vs. 2710) and dominant 2026 results, including an unbeaten Candidates victory and strong Olympiad performance. Traders have priced in Gukesh’s prolonged slump since his 2024 title win, marked by a steep rating drop, multiple subpar classical results, and criticism from top players regarding inconsistent evaluations and confidence. Head-to-head classical scores also tilt toward the challenger, while Gukesh’s sole prior championship experience provides the main counterweight reflected in his lower implied probability.
Pravidla
This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 World Chess Championship. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 World Chess Championship per the rules of FIDE, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 World Chess Championship tournament is cancelled, postponed, or partially completed after June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from FIDE; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.